Thursday, May 6, 2010

Derby Day PK6 Carryover - $1,000,000

Taking a light stab at this given it's relative impossiblity.

R5: 3
R6: 2
R7: 3,6
R8: 3,8
R9: 5,7
R10: 1,10

1x1x2x2x2x2 = $32

THIS IS GOING TO STING FOR A WHILE. LOST THE 1ST LEG TO MY SECOND CHOICE WHEN MY PICK UNSEATED HIS RIDER... RAN THE REMAINING 5 TO HIT THE 5 OF 6 CONSO. GOING TO BE KICKING MYSELF FOR SKIMPING AND SAVING THAT EXTRA $32 BY LEAVING OUT THE 5 IN THE FIRST LEG... 6 OF 6 PAID $$21,XXX?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!?!??!?!?! OUCH.

Saturday, May 1, 2010

A RAINY Derby Day

The heaviest rain on "Derby Day" was a 2.31" deluge that accumulated both in the morning and evening of May 11, 1918. Therefore, it's possible Saturday could be the wettest race day on record! Perhaps the odds-on favorite isn't really "Lookin At Lucky" but rather "Heavy Rain". - www.weather.com

Should be a total crap shoot today and will be fishing for prices with yesterday's profits...

R5:

Most Likely: #4 Hymn book
Next Best: #12 Anarko


R6:

Most Likely: #2 Hot Dixie Chick
Best Value: #3 Bell's Shoes
Next Best: #1 Buckleupbuttercup - WON

R7:

Most Likely: #5 Tizaqueena
Best Value: #7 Diamondrella
Next Best: #1 Miss Keller

R8:

Most Likely: #2 Warbling
Best Value: #5 Double Expresso, #6 Pretty Prolific, #7 Cassidy's Pride
Next Best: #3 Informed Decision

R9:

Most Likely: #7 Warriors Reward - 2nd
Best Value: #13 Accredit 20-1 !! - Off his form and long layoff but perfect 5 for 5 over sloppy track @ 20-1 - 5th
Next Best: #12 Musket Man - 2rd
Multi use: 2,3

R10: Playing Against the favorites...

Most Likely: #6 Battle of Hastings 4th
Best Value: #7 Blues Street 5th
Next Best: #5 Al Kahli 6th

R11:

Most Likely: #1 Lucky (will play if > 6-1), #2 Ice Box, #4 Super Saver, #11 Devil May Care, #20 Sidney's Candy if 10-1+.
Best Value: #10 Paddy O Prado, #7 American Lion
Also Include on Multi: #3,6,13,14,15,16,17

PK4 Play:

R8: 2,3 (5,6,7)
R9: 7,12,13 (2,3)
R10: ALL
R11: 1,2,4,7,10,11,20

2x3x3x7 *0.50 = $63